Nintendo Switch 2 – Analyst Believes There Are 6-8 Million Units in Stock for June 5 Launch

Nintendo recently kicked off pre-orders for the Switch 2 in several regions, and while the company hasn’t revealed any figures as of yet, an analyst believes that the company likely has between 6 million and 8 million units available for the console’s June 5 launch.
With Nintendo president Shuntaro Furukawa having recently revealed that more than 2 million fans had taken part in the lottery pre-order system in Japan alone, Pelham Smithers of Japan-focused equity research house Pelham Smithers Associates believes that this likely accounts for around one third of the overall pre-order figures. This comes from the user base of the original Switch in Japan also equalling around a third of the overall user base of the console worldwide.
“As Japan accounts for a third of the global Switch installation base, it implies 6.6 million pre-orders globally,” said Smithers, according to Bloomberg.
It is worth noting that as part of Furukawa’s post revealing the Japanese figures, the president also apologised, stating that there will likely be several potential buyers that have taken part in the lottery that may not get a Switch 2 on launch.
“On April 2, we announced the details of the Nintendo Switch 2 and began accepting applications for a lottery sale on the My Nintendo Store,” wrote Furukawa (translation via X). “As a result, we received applications from an astonishing 2.2 million people in Japan alone.
“However, this far exceeded our prior expectations and greatly surpasses the number of Nintendo Switch 2 units we can deliver from the My Nintendo Store on June 5.”
Furukawa did state that Nintendo is taking steps to try and mitigate this issue, and that it will be ramping up production of the upcoming console for later batches. In the meantime, he announced that those that took part in the lottery but were not selected for pre-orders don’t have to worry about signing up for it again, as they will automatically be enrolled for the next lottery.
“Furthermore, we are planning to produce and ship a substantial number of Nintendo Switch 2 units moving forward,” he wrote. “We sincerely apologize for the time it will take to fully meet your expectations and kindly ask for your understanding.”
Buyers trying to pre-order the Switch 2 in the US and Canada have also seemingly been facing issues due to immense demands that online retailers like Best Buy and Target aren’t able to keep up with. Several buyers took to X to post in frustration about technical issues they were facing in their attempts to pre-order the console.
“I kept refreshing the page on Target to get the Switch 2, was on the checkout page for 20 minutes refreshing it over and over, hoping it would work,” wrote one X user, DoobusGoobus. “And after it claimed to finally work, I got an email saying it got canceled immediately. Fucking hell.”
The Nintendo Switch 2 is priced at $449.99. Until Fall 2025, the console will also be available as part of a bundle alongside launch title Mario Kart World, priced at $499.99.